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« See ya! | Main | Smart attempts at dissing the far right »

February 28, 2011

Comments

Adolf Dricey

The obvious solution for the GOP/Tea Party is to rewrite the rules and regulations governing elections at the state level so as either to bar the non-GOP/Tea Party demographic from voting or so as to make it such a hassle that they're deterred from voting. Thus, photo-ID laws, restrictive residency rules, and even the discussion one begins to hear these days about reinstating property requirements.

Put nothing beyond the pale for the GOP/Tea Party, and bear in mind that judges increasingly are rendering decisions based on their partisan political affiliations rather than on law and precedent (see: ACA) and welcome to the New America.

Robert Lipscomb

P.M., while I agree with your conclusion that we are a center-right country, I cannot hang my hat on the polling data you use. A person's affinity to or repulsion from a particular label might be in contradiction to their real beliefs. I am sure that even fewer than 20% of the public considers themselves to be socialist. Yet, the very socialist programs of Social Security and Medicare are very popular, even with Republicans and Tea Partiers.

This applies to social issues as well. The ending of Don't Ask/Don't Tell and Obama's position on DOMA were met with a yawn, even on the Right. Over the past 30 years, Americans have held a center-right to far right opinion about GLBT issues. Even so, we have moved to what once would have been a radical Left position.

I think the conservative-liberal concept is not so much of where we are heading, as much as it is about how quickly we get there. This fits the basic premise of your post regarding demographic changes. I think you err in believing that the conservatives and Republicans cannot or will not change over the next 6 years, regarding demographic-based issues. They can and will.

And in 6 years, we will be a little more socialist via "Obamacare".

Charlieford

Good points all 'round. But I think there's something more.

The dynamics of party affiliation don't merely reflect ideology, interest, or demographics.

They also reflect splits within groups that otherwise seem as if they have a common identity or interest, and these get linked to ambition.

Recall--I know, it's unpleasant, but recall it anyway--the surprising explosion of pro-Nixon youth back in the sixties.

You look at what was going on then, you look at Nixon, you look at where the interests of the youth lay, and you ask, How could this be?

Oh, it be.

If I were a Republican, I'd be counting on similar developments. There will always be insiders and outsiders within every demographic group, and whichever party is in power will be alienating somebody, who will be ripe for the plucking by the party out of power.

majii

The "demographic hole" that the GOP has placed itself into was not without careful planning and calculation. Over the last 2+ years, the party has attacked gays, lesbians, Muslims, blacks, immigrants, and others in an attempt to de-legitimize President Obama. The strategy paid off in the midterm elections because the party motivated its members to go to the polls and vote. This allowed them to regain control of the House and win seats in the Senate. The party didn't appear to look at elections from a longterm perspective, and imo, this is a key weakness they have to deal with in 2012.

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