From HuffPost's Ryan Grim and Zach Carter, some spooky but sloppy analysis:
Trump has a perfectly plausible path to the presidency as a Republican….
To secure the presidency, Democrats only have to win the Northeast, the West Coast, and the Upper Midwest, including Iowa. Obama did far better [in 2012], carrying every swing state in the country, including Florida and Virginia in the South, and Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada in the West.
But even with that massive margin, Obama could have been undone by victories for Republican rival Mitt Romney in just four states: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
So let's give Trump those four states. What Grim and Carter neglect to tell us is that even with those four in Trump's column (which is exceedingly unlikely), if Hillary were to win just North Carolina — which Obama did in 2008 — and its sizable African-American bloc, she would still win the Electoral College vote, 283 to 255. Or if Hillary were to win over Arizona's massive anti-Trump Latino population, she'd beat Trump 279 to 259.
There is indeed a "how" to Ryan and Carter's headline: "Here's How Donald Trump Could Become President." It's called a "miracle."