This would have been an interesting race. But ...
"There is no path right now for me. I don't see a way to get there," said former governor John Kasich today about a 2020 challenge to Trump…. "Ninety percent of the Republican Party supports him. It may be a shrinking Republican Party, but nevertheless. Maybe somebody wants to run and make a statement and that's fine, but I've never gotten involved in a political race where I didn't think I could win."
My guess is that 90 percent of the Republican Party supports Trump only because the president has no competition. In February a Monmouth University poll found that 43 percent of Republicans would like to see Trump primaried, although the same poll found that Trump would "trounce" any competitor.
But for all-American Kasich, is that really the point? I've lost track of the times I've heard Kasich express the sentiment that the country should come first, and then the party (and by extension, any candidate). Thus his primary potential should be as secondary to Kasich as the party.
He's right that it would be "fine" if "somebody wants to run and make [an anti-Trump] statement" — the GOP's future depends on a multitude of independent thinkers and disaffected activism — and Kasich is probably the supreme Republican choice to do just that. Yet he's more worried about his loss column than the nation's or his party's well-being.
I've always suspected that John Kasich's fate is the most critical question lying before John Kasich — a down-home demagogue at heart. And now we know it for a fact.