Yesterday I cited Nate Silver's optimistic tone in his piece, "Is Joe Biden Toast If He Loses Pennsylvania?" Not really, concluded Silver. Yet he also wrote:
"The polls have been [tight] in Pennsylvania.... Biden’s current lead is just 5.1 points, and in 2016, polls were off by 4.4 points in the Keystone State — Trump won it by 0.7 points after trailing in our final polling average by 3.7 points there. So with a 2016-style polling error in Pennsylvania, Biden would be cutting it awfully close, perhaps even so close that court rulings on factors like 'naked ballots' could swing the outcome."
My puzzlement? This is the most conservative, pretty much unrealistic, damn near inconceivable pro-Trump election map that I can imagine — without Pennsylvania:
So …….. how could Biden even possibly be toast without the Keystone State?