[Housekeeping note: I tried doing more work today but my body, viz., lungs, has taken on something of an unpleasant relapse from the recent "troubles." Still, I believe I'm improving; just need another afternoon and evening of inactivity. I thank you for your forbearance.]
Politico had this concise little roundup from several reliable pollsters on Sunday, I believe it was. But given the glacial movement of survey results lately, both nationally and by states, no day or week has been of any statistical significance. It's been Harris two points up, Harris two points down, Trump making inroads — minorities; strike that, Trump's inroads — a phantasm. Reset and repeat.
- Per ABC/Ipsos: VP KAMALA HARRIS leads DONALD TRUMP among likely voters nationally, 50 percent to 48 percent. In September, Harris led by 5 points in the same poll. … The Trump effect: “56% of Americans now favor deporting all undocumented immigrants, up 20 points from eight years ago.”
- Per NBC: Harris and Trump are tied among registered voters, 48 percent to 48 percent. Last month, Harris was up by 5 in the same poll.
- Per CBS/YouGov: Harris leads Trump nationally among likely voters, 51 percent to 48 percent, a 1-point tightening of Harris’ lead over the last month.
- Trump has chipped away at Dems’ margins among Black voters, per NYT/Siena: “About 15 percent of Black likely voters said they planned to vote for the former president, according to the new poll, a six-point increase from four years ago.”
- And among Latino voters, Harris’ support is “in dangerously low territory,” NYT/Siena finds. Fifty-six percent back Harris, while 37 percent back Trump.